33 are we winning weekly update

It’s Friday and time for an update to the ‘are we winning’ series.

Today I also use the fatalities to provide an additional estimate of the infection rate.

Also see what happens if we lift it too soon

• fdm 22 - one day too soon
• fdm 21 - the difference a day makes

Model assumptions and overview

• fdm 18a - sir vs reality
• fdm 19 - sir bitmap

Previous episodes in this series

• 15 May fdm 32 - are we winning weekly update
• 8 May fdm 31 - are we winning weekly update
• 1 May fdm 28 - are we winning weekly update
• 24 April fdm 26 - are we winning weekly update
• 17 April fdm 23 - are we winning weekly update
• 10 April fdm 20 - are we winning