23 are we winning weekly update
It’s Friday and time for an update to the ‘are we winning’ series.
It is difficult to make sense of the data at present given the large revisions of the last day or so. The 7 day moving average is at 90k new infections per day while the actual number reported for yesterday jumped from 80k to 97k new infections.
New infections have stabilised but we still have a long way to go to win this battle.
Also see what happens if we lift it too soon
Model assumptions and overview